To forecast demand over the next decade, we first looked at the current commercial and business aviation aircraft fleets, calculating the pilots and cabin crew required when flying these planes. Then, we looked at forecasts of fleet changes (both new deliveries and retirements of older aircraft) and calculated the number of additional personnel required for anticipated fleet growth. Finally, we used estimated retirement and turnover rates to calculate the personnel required to replace those retiring or leaving the industry.
For maintenance technicians, we based our analysis on scheduled maintenance events for each aircraft considering their usage and age. This gave us the total number of events, and we then calculated the time required to perform the maintenance tasks and the number of personnel required to complete them.
For air traffic services personnel, we researched existing Air Navigation Service Providers (ANSP) staffing reports, agency records, and technology capabilities to build a database of current staffing. We then developed a staffing model based on growth in flights to calculate the number of additional air traffic controllers needed. We then looked at demographics to calculate retirements and attrition. We used estimated retirement and turnover rates to calculate the personnel required to replace those retiring or leaving the industry. Finally, we added the understaffing of ANSPs to our calculation to determine the number of air traffic controllers required over the next 10 years.
At CAE, we exist to make the world safer. We equip people in critical roles with the expertise and solutions to create a safer world.
We deliver cutting-edge training, simulation, and critical operations solutions to prepare aviation professionals and defence forces for the moments that matter. Every day, we empower pilots, cabin crew, maintenance technicians, airlines, business aviation operators, and defence and security personnel to perform at their best and when the stakes are the highest. Around the globe, we’re everywhere customers need us to be with approximately 13,000 employees at around 240 sites and training locations in over 40 countries.
For nearly 80 years, CAE has been at the forefront of innovation, consistently seeking to set the standard by delivering excellence in high-fidelity flight simulators and training solutions, while embedding sustainability at the heart of everything we do. By harnessing technology and enhancing human performance, we strive to be the trusted partner in advancing safety and mission readiness—today and tomorrow.